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Oil, climate forecast? Future termed dire, self-sufficiency urged
Tuesday, 04 July 2006 14:14
By DAVID FORBES

BLACK MOUNTAIN ?? Lacking a response from the federal government, individuals and local communities will have to conserve and become more self-sufficient to adapt to dwindling oil supplies and climate change, writer and retired teacher Jean Franklin said in a presentation at the Black Mountain Public Library on June 5.

 
?®I personally have given up on the federal government to be able to really deal with this problem,?∆ she said. ?®That leaves us with individual and family and community response ?? and there are opportunities there. Actions that any one of us take at these levels help all of us.?∆

Franklin, a retired English teacher who also writes a column in the Asheville Citizen-Times,  was joined by her husband Dr. Carl Franklin, a retired physics teacher and metereologist, for the presentation. The couple owns and operates Black Mountain Books.


The presentation, sponsored by the Black Mountain Friends of the Library, drew about 50 people.

Jean Franklin termed the threat posed by climate change as possibly the most dire that society faces ?? and one that it is ill-prepared for.

?®We are basically speaking to you as two United States citizens who have read some books and articles and believe that we Americans are now facing the problem of our lives,?∆ she said. ?®We don??t think our children are prepared for what lies ahead. We care about this problem and we also struggle with the costs involved with trying to fix it.?∆


Moreover, she said, climate change, conservation and peak oil ?? as well as related issues like coal mining ?? have generally been inadequately covered by the mainstream media, thereby increasing most people??s lack of awareness of the two issues.


?®We see hurricanes, we see the Iraq war, which may or may not have been over oil, we see all this ?? but these issues are poorly or barely cover at all,?∆ Jean Franklin said. ?®How many pieces have you seen on peak oil? Or coal mining and mountaintop removal? Even global warming has been murkily covered.


?®For example, Al Gore has just produced a movie on it, but the media story is: Is Al Gore running for President? Conservation is barely covered at all.?∆


In the United States, she added, the average American uses 57.5 barrels of oil a year.


?®Europeans use half that much and Californians use about 60 percent of that,?∆ Jean Franklin said. ?®They got burned by the Enron problem ?? they have stringent conservation measures.?∆


While half of the average American??s oil usage is out of the individual??s control ?? being used by infrastructure or large industry ?? the other half is more easily reducable.


?®Those are used by basically three things ?? food, house and your car,?∆ Jean Franklin said. ?®Food is the biggest cause of this ?? we use about 10 calories of fossil fuel to produce one calorie of food. Go into Bi-Lo or Ingles ?? every food product there is the product of petroleum products. The chemical cocktail that plants are fed is based on petroleum, as the pesticides ?? and then you have the truck that is used to transport them to the store.?∆


Because food is the largest individual use of energy, she said, one way individuals could help conserve is by buying more local foods.


?®If you buy from the tailgate market, then that food has not been transported and handled and processed,?∆ Jean Franklin said. ?®Its not nearly as much of a fossil fuel use.?∆


Cutting down on the use of fossil fuels is not just needed to help avert disastrous climate change, but also because oil supplies are dwindling, with the world having already reached ?? or about to reach ?? the peak point of oil production.


?®We are already pumping at the maximum, even while demand is widening as China and India want to buy more oil,?∆ she said. ?®An Exxon-Mobil report says that before 2010, the world??s output will have peaked ?? and that??s an oil company??s own sources. But this information is known and appreciated almost nowhere in the mainstream culture.?∆


Because of the dwindling oil supply, a cultural and societal shift towards more locally oriented communities is inevitable, Jean Franklin said.


?®Life is going to become much more local ?? centered around small communities surrounded by farms that can feed them,?∆ she said. ?®The poor and people living in suburbs will be hard hit as food becomes costly. Black Mountain is not that bad a place to be. Atlanta is not a good place to be because you have to drive a long way to get anything.?∆


That shift will have to be led by individuals and communities, she added, because the federal oil policy focuses on ?®securing the oil fields of the Middle East and encouraging heavy consumption at home.?∆

However, she did note that the Southeast in particular has a problem with another fossil fuel as well ?? coal.

?®We??re addicted to coal too ?? and we??re not getting off easy there,?∆ she said. ?®The majority of our power comes from coal-fired plants ?? and as a result, we have the country??s unhealthiest air. Ten of the nation??s 25 most unhealthy cities are all in the southeast. In the mountaintop removal method, the mountains are simply blown away. They turn the mountains into big white deserts. If we had coal in these mountains, you??d be seeing the same thing here.?∆


In separate remarks, Carl Franklin explained how the use of fossil fuels are contributing to rising temperatures around the globe. By putting more carbon dioxide into the atmosphere he said, light ?? and thus heat becomes increasingly trapped, leading to rising temperatures, more powerful hurricanes and increased sea levels.


?®There is absolutely no debate about this within the scientific community ?? none,?∆ he said. ?®The 10 warmest years we??ve had on record have been in the last 15 years. The sea level has risen eight inches. This is all caused by global warming. Legitimate scientific organizations have all said that this is a problem. They all say that it is happening, that humans have an effect ?? and that the results may be terrible.?∆


In contrast, he noted, ?®much of the mainstream media depicts this issue as more fifty-fifty, as if there??s still a debate on this or as if there??s serious doubt. There??s not There have been over a 1,000 peer-reviewed articles in the last decade on this. Zero of them have said that global warming is not a problem. This is not a scientific debate anymore.?∆


Energy companies have, however, funded non-scientific studies and advertising campaigns claiming that the issue is still being debated, Carl Franklin said.


?®The earth is going to tell us ?? that??s the bad news,?∆ he added.


In later remarks, he noted that there is growing interest among many American citizens on this issue and that there are steps people can take to begin radical conservation.


?®If you replace all the light-bulbs in your house with 10-year lightbulbs, you??ll cut your energy consumption in half,?∆ he said. ?®There are steps we can take on this and they can start right here ?? that??s the good news.?∆
 



 


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